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EU's 21st sanctions package stalls again

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The EU's 21st Russia sanctions package failed to clear Coreper on 15 July. Greece wants LNG re-export rights preserved; Austria wants a Deripaska-linked firm delisted.

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Key takeaway

Watch which carve-outs make the final text, not whether the twenty-first package clears.

The European Union's 21st Russia sanctions package failed to clear Coreper, the committee of member states' permanent representatives in Brussels, on 15 July, with negotiators setting a new target of 22 July rather than letting it slip to autumn ¹. Greece wants to preserve re-export rights for Russian liquefied natural gas. Austria wants Rasperia, an investment firm linked to the sanctioned aluminium magnate Oleg Deripaska, removed from the list so that frozen assets can be used to compensate Raiffeisen Bank International.

Neither objection is an argument about whether to pressure Moscow. Both are domestic commercial interests: Greek shipping's role in moving cargoes that pass through Europe rather than remaining in it, and Raiffeisen's search for compensation against its Russian exposure. Sanctions packages pass by unanimity, so a commercial interest in one member state carries the same stopping power as a strategic objection in another.

Each round of unanimity leaves its mark on the text. Holdouts extract a carve-out, the carve-out persists into later packages because reopening settled wording costs another round of unanimity, and the enforcement surface narrows even as the number on the package climbs. Brussels has been tightening on paper while Washington has been loosening in practice, most recently by letting its crude oil waiver lapse unrenewed . Whether Greece's LNG exemption and Austria's Rasperia demand survive into the final wording is the part worth watching on 22 July, not whether the package passes.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

The European Union tries to pass new rounds of sanctions against Russia as a package, and this one, the 21st since the war began, failed to get the votes it needed at a meeting in Brussels on 15 July. Two countries are blocking it for different reasons: Greece wants to keep the right to re-export Russian liquefied natural gas to other countries, and Austria wants a specific investment firm removed from the sanctions list so its frozen assets can be used to compensate an Austrian bank that lost money doing business with it. EU sanctions need every member country to agree, so either objection alone is enough to stop the whole package. A new vote is set for 22 July.

Deep Analysis

Root Causes

The package's two holdouts trace to different national exposures rather than a shared objection: Greece's shipping industry depends on revenue from re-exporting Russian LNG to third countries, while Austria's block is a compensation mechanism for Raiffeisen Bank International's frozen Russian exposure via Rasperia. Clearing the package therefore requires satisfying two unrelated national balance-sheet problems, not resolving one disputed principle.

Each objection is solvable in isolation (a carve-out for Greek re-export rights, a delisting tied to specific compensation terms for Austria), but EU sanctions require unanimity, so either holdout alone is enough to stall the whole 21st package regardless of how narrow its underlying demand is.

Sources:Global Sanctions

Mentions:Moscow →Brussels →Russian LNG →Greece →Austria →Russia →Washington →European Union →Rasperia →Oleg Deripaska →Raiffeisen →

First Reported In

Update #24 · Fedorov sacked as the front stands still

Global Sanctions· 19 Jul 2026

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Causes and effects

This Event

EU's 21st sanctions package stalls again

Two national carve-outs, neither about Russia policy, are holding an entire package.

Led to

EU clears its 21st sanctions package

The package's 23 July approval follows its failed 15 July Coreper vote.

Occurred 23 Jul 2026

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Different Perspectives

Cross-border power traders

The France-Germany day-ahead spread flipped from a EUR 17.20 German premium on 1 August to a EUR 4.15 French premium on 3 August, the same day French curtailment peaked. They cannot yet attribute the flip to curtailment alone, since a like-for-like overnight comparison shows French nuclear output rising while wind fell and demand returned on the weekday step.

EDF

River-cooling limits took 7.6 GW, 12 per cent of its fleet, offline on 3 August, the highest curtailment since the heatwave began, with an easing forecast to 4.3 GW on 4 August and 3 GW after. It manages the cut as a recurring seasonal constraint, expecting it to lift with river temperature, not repair.

Gasunie

TTF, the Dutch hub it operates, drifted to roughly EUR 55 to 58 per MWh across the window, staying inside its recent range through both the German spark reversal and the French curtailment. It reads a flat hub price as evidence that neither event this window carried enough weight to move the fuel leg on its own.

German gas-fired generators

Record German solar of 18,761 MW on 2 August pushed the clean spark spread to minus 18.48 EUR/MWh, a loss-making day, before it returned to plus 16.20 on 3 August. They now price dispatch against post-solar residual load rather than wind alone, since the sign flipped inside 48 hours on unchanged fuel and carbon costs.

European Commission (DG Energy)

Its implementing-measures register logged transposition notices from only Portugal and Slovakia against Wednesday's Article 94 deadline for Directive (EU) 2024/1788, with 25 states silent. It expects the register to fill only gradually, since filing routinely lags legislating and any infringement track against non-notifying states runs on a slower clock than the deadline itself.

Spain's LNG terminal operators

Spain's 9,145 GWh terminal inventory is the largest single stock in the EU LNG network, an option value that can reroute cargoes wherever the winter strip pays best rather than a cavern gas obligation tied to a fixed date. That flexibility matters more as Germany's cavern shortfall pushes more of the winter security question onto import infrastructure.