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Wood Mackenzie
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Wood Mackenzie

Edinburgh-based energy and mining research consultancy, owned by Verisk Analytics.

Wood Mackenzie, the Edinburgh research consultancy owned by Verisk Analytics, published data on 24 July showing Saudi Red Sea crude bypass volumes easing 41% to 2.39 million barrels a day, feeding this desk's tracking of the reroute.

Last refreshed: 31 July 2026 · Appears in 3 active topics

Key Question

With Brent at $126, how far does Wood Mackenzie think oil prices will climb?

Timeline for Wood Mackenzie

#20 24 Jul

Published data showing Saudi Red Sea crude bypass fell 41% by June

European Oil Markets: June's calm was borrowed, not banked
#20 22 Jun
View full timeline →

Background

Wood Mackenzie is a global energy, renewables and natural resources research consultancy, founded in 1923 in Edinburgh and acquired by Verisk Analytics in 2015. It produces commodity price forecasts, supply-and-demand models and strategic analysis used by oil majors, banks and governments worldwide.

Its oil analyst Ann-Louise Hittle forecast Brent Crude at $150 a barrel during the March 2026 Iran conflict spike, when Brent itself peaked at $126, calling $200 not outside the realms of possibility while the Strait of Hormuz remained disrupted. On the European gas side, analyst Tom Marzec-Manser has tracked the market through the EU's short-term Russian LNG ban and the Troll A and Hammerfest outages that narrowed the storage margin later in spring.

That combination, an independent Edinburgh base outside the trading desks of the big US and European banks, and named analysts willing to publish specific price and volume forecasts, gives Wood Mackenzie's numbers unusual traction with the financial press and, in turn, with the traders and portfolio managers who read it.

Key Issues
Red Sea data

Wood Mackenzie's bypass data reversed course

Wood Mackenzie published data on 24 July showing Saudi Red Sea crude bypass volumes easing 41% to 2.39 million barrels a day by June, down from a March peak of 4.07 million. The figures illustrate the firm's standard role on this desk: a licensed, independent data series that traders and analysts cite as a common reference point rather than a directional call.

That role also exposed the report's limits. The Houthi blockade declared on 23 July reversed the bypass decline within a week, so by the time Wood Mackenzie's June figures reached readers the underlying trend they described had already turned. The lag is a structural feature of monthly data series, not a forecasting failure specific to the firm.

Common Questions
What is Wood Mackenzie?
Wood Mackenzie is an Edinburgh-based global energy, renewables and natural resources research consultancy, founded in 1923 and owned by Verisk Analytics since 2015. It provides commodity price forecasts, supply models and strategic analysis to oil companies, banks and governments worldwide.Source: Wood Mackenzie
What did Wood Mackenzie forecast for oil prices in the Iran conflict?
Analyst Ann-Louise Hittle forecast Brent Crude would reach $150 per barrel and called $200 "not outside the realms of possibility" as Hormuz disruption drove prices to $119 intraday in March 2026.Source: Wood Mackenzie / Lowdown
Who is Ann-Louise Hittle at Wood Mackenzie?
Ann-Louise Hittle is Wood Mackenzie's head of oil markets research. She issued a $150 Brent forecast during the 2026 Iran conflict and was one of the first analysts to put $200 per barrel in scope.Source: Lowdown
How does Wood Mackenzie compare to Rystad Energy on oil forecasts?
Wood Mackenzie's Ann-Louise Hittle called $200 per barrel "not outside the realms of possibility" during the 2026 Iran conflict; Rystad Energy modelled $110 by April and $135 by June under shorter war scenarios, making Wood Mackenzie the more bearish on supply and more bullish on price.Source: Lowdown
Who owns Wood Mackenzie?
Wood Mackenzie is a subsidiary of Verisk Analytics, a US-listed data analytics company. Verisk acquired the Edinburgh firm in 2015 for approximately $2.8 billion.Source: Wood Mackenzie
What does Wood Mackenzie say about European gas supply in 2026?
Wood Mackenzie analyst Tom Marzec-Manser said on 25 April 2026 that the EU's short-term Russian LNG ban posed no immediate supply risk, given available US LNG and Norwegian pipeline flows. By late May, with the Troll A fault and an inverted storage strip, that benign assessment was under pressure.Source: Bloomberg; Lowdown EEM Updates
Who is Tom Marzec-Manser at Wood Mackenzie?
Tom Marzec-Manser is a gas and LNG analyst at Wood Mackenzie, cited by Bloomberg and others for European gas supply assessments. He is the firm's primary public voice on EU gas market developments including the 2026 Russian LNG ban impact.Source: Bloomberg