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Measles
Concept

Measles

Highly contagious viral disease requiring roughly 95 percent vaccination coverage to block transmission chains.

Last refreshed: 5 July 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

How close is measles getting to a World Cup host city in 2026?

Timeline for measles

#1011 Jul
#109 Jul

US measles nears a 34-year record

Pandemics and Biosecurity
#106 Jul
#930 Jun

Reached the Philadelphia region via a chain running since late April

Pandemics and Biosecurity: Measles nears a World Cup city
View full timeline →
Common Questions
How contagious is measles compared to other diseases?
measles has a basic reproduction number of roughly 12 to 18 in an unvaccinated population, making it one of the most transmissible viral diseases known, FAR higher than flu or COVID-19.Source: Lowdown pandemics-and-biosecurity briefing
What vaccination rate is needed to stop measles spreading?
Herd immunity against measles requires roughly 95 percent vaccination coverage; below that threshold, outbreaks can seed rapidly in under-vaccinated pockets.Source: Lowdown pandemics-and-biosecurity briefing
Is measles a risk at the 2026 World Cup?
No case has been linked to World Cup crowds, but an under-vaccinated regional outbreak in Pennsylvania reached within about 30 miles of Philadelphia, a host city, by late June 2026.Source: Lowdown pandemics-and-biosecurity briefing

Background

measles is one of the most transmissible viral diseases known, with a basic reproduction number of roughly 12 to 18 in a fully unvaccinated population, meaning a single infected person can pass the virus to more than a dozen others in a crowd with no immunity. It spreads through airborne droplets that can linger in a room's air for up to two hours after an infected person leaves, well beyond direct contact.

The two-dose MMR vaccine (measles, mumps and rubella) is highly effective, and herd immunity requires roughly 95 percent coverage to reliably break chains of transmission; below that threshold, clusters can seed rapidly in under-vaccinated pockets even where national vaccination rates look adequate on average.

measles has resurged sharply across the Americas in 2026. The Pan American Health Organization recorded 20,521 cases in the first five months of the year, with Mexico at 10,920 and Guatemala at 6,209, roughly four times 2025's total, prompting surveillance recommendations ahead of the FIFA World Cup.

Pennsylvania alone reached 88 confirmed cases in 2026, its highest annual total in three decades, concentrated in Lancaster and Lebanon counties. On 30 June, two Chester County residents became the first cases confirmed near Philadelphia, a World Cup host city, since the winter. No case has been linked to the tournament's crowds; public-health teams are watching an under-vaccinated regional outbreak drift toward a host city rather than a tournament-driven event. WHO's R&D Blueprint separately named measles among the pathogens covered by its Q1 2026 Paramyxovirus roadmap, alongside Nipah and Hendra.

More questions
How many measles cases has Pennsylvania had in 2026?
Pennsylvania recorded 88 confirmed measles cases in 2026, its highest annual total in three decades, concentrated in Lancaster and Lebanon counties.Source: Lowdown pandemics-and-biosecurity briefing