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European Oil Markets
15JUN

Iran's army widens Saeqeh to three states

3 min read
11:33UTC

Press TV put the Artesh's Operation Saeqeh at its 14th and 15th phases on 18 July, hitting US-linked sites in Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain. The campaign has widened through eight nights of American bombing meant to degrade it.

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Key takeaway

Iranian state media claims Saeqeh reached phases 14 and 15 across Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain.

Iranian state broadcaster Press TV put Operation Saeqeh, the campaign run by the Artesh, at its 14th and 15th phases on 18 July, striking US-linked facilities in Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain 1. The Artesh is Iran's regular army, constitutionally confined to territorial defence and institutionally separate from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), which runs its own strikes and its own claims.

Two days earlier the Artesh had claimed the tenth phase against Kuwait's Ali Al Salem Air Base and Bahrain's Sheikh Isa airbase, while the IRGC separately claimed a Jordan strike the same day . That doubling of claimants on one target set is not a bookkeeping curiosity. It tracks which Iranian institution wants credit for hitting Americans, and the base where the Americans died on Friday sits on the handover between them.

The phase numbers come from Iranian state media and may be inflated for effect. Tehran's domestic outlets have gone considerably further on casualties: Fars and Tabnak put the cumulative American toll since February at 16 killed and more than 430 wounded 2. No source outside Iranian media supports those figures. Strip the numbering and the claim that survives is narrower: the campaign kept running and widened across three countries while US aircraft were flying nightly against the systems that fire it, and the 14 July Gulf-wide retaliation against the same three states shows the target list was set before the bombing began. Tehran's stated rationale is that bases flying strikes into Iran are lawful military targets wherever they sit.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Iran actually has two separate armed forces: the regular army, called the Artesh, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or IRGC, which is a more ideological force loyal directly to Iran's Supreme Leader. Iranian state television said on 18 July that the Artesh's own campaign against American military bases, called Operation Saeqeh (Persian for Lightning), had reached its 14th and 15th stages and now covered bases in three countries: Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain. That the regular army is running its own numbered campaign, separate from the IRGC's strikes, shows Iran is fighting this war through two different military organisations rather than one unified command.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Iran's constitution confines the Artesh to territorial defence, while the IRGC answers directly to the Supreme Leader and has no such limit; Operation Saeqeh's targeting of US basing in Kuwait, Jordan and Bahrain, states outside Iran's borders, is the Artesh operating past its constitutional remit under a wartime footing that has not been formally declared.

That gap between the Artesh's legal mandate and its actual conduct is what makes its own phase numbering worth tracking: each new phase is a data point on how far the regular army's leadership judges it can stretch that mandate without a Supreme Leader override.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    A named, numbered campaign that survives eight nights of US bombing without pausing its own numbering suggests the Artesh's targeting list and pace were set independently of what CENTCOM has been able to degrade.

  • Risk

    Two Iranian forces claiming strikes on the same host states raises the chance a single incident gets contradictory Iranian attribution, complicating any US or Gulf response calculus.

First Reported In

Update #156 · First American deaths in Jordan

Press TV· 19 Jul 2026
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