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Data Centres: Boom and Backlash
4AUG

Edinburgh appeal now sits with ministers

2 min read
10:53UTC

The Redheughs Avenue appeal was recalled on 17 August and now sits with Scottish Ministers against a 28 September target. Lowdown counted 2,202 entries on the register Britain's queue figures are checked against, and not one is demand alone.

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Key takeaway

Britain's TEC register holds no demand-only entries, so no demand-queue total can be derived from it.

The Redheughs Avenue appeal in Edinburgh, case reference PPA-230-2794, was recalled on 17 August and now sits on hold with Scottish Ministers, carrying a target decision date of 28 September⁠1. A recall lifts the decision away from the reporter appointed to hear it and puts it in ministers' hands. The application seeks planning permission in principle only, which settles whether a development of this kind belongs on the site without approving a design.

The scheme's agent confirmed in August that it would produce a full environmental impact assessment, the formal study of a development's environmental effects. Cases like this now turn on evidence about power and water demand rather than on land use alone, and that evidence has to come from a published dataset somewhere.

Britain's national demand figures come apart under the same scrutiny. Britain's data-centre connection queue is most often checked against the Transmission Entry Capacity register published by NESO, the National Energy System Operator that runs Great Britain's electricity system. Transmission Entry Capacity is the contracted right to put power on to the transmission system, and a data centre does the opposite: it takes power off. Lowdown counted the register's 2,202 entries on 8 September. 106 of them, 4.8%, carry any demand component in their plant type, and not one is demand alone; where demand appears it is compounded with generation at hybrid sites, in forms such as "Demand;Energy Storage System"⁠2. The register updates twice weekly, so those counts carry that date.

A register holding no demand-only entries cannot produce a demand-queue total. The 125 GW that circulates as one traces instead to a NESO presentation on future demand increase, which attributes the figure there to Energy Networks Association connection data⁠3. That presentation is an image-only document, so the attribution stands as what the slide says rather than as something we could verify at source. NESO's own reformed connections pipeline, published with its December 2025 reform results, reports 99 GW of transmission-connected demand⁠4. Two datasets, two definitions, and a third number that belongs to neither.

Both figures already do work in live policy arguments. Ofgem proposed a refundable deposit on grid connection offers in late July, priced at up to £712,500 per MW, which means the case for pricing a queue rests on a queue length nobody has published authoritatively. Edinburgh shows the same problem at one address. Ministers hold a decision that turns on how much power a single scheme would draw, in a country where the national total cannot be read off the register everyone reaches for.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Britain keeps a public list of everything waiting to connect to the electricity grid, but that list was originally designed to track power plants, not big electricity users like data centres. Because demand and generation entries are not cleanly separated, nobody can simply add up a column and get an accurate total for how much new data-centre demand is really in the queue.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

NESO's Transmission Entry Capacity register was built to track generation connecting to the grid, decades before data centres became large enough loads to need their own queue category.

Demand connections were added to the same register later without a clean field separating them from generation, which is why a straightforward count of demand-only entries does not exist and any published aggregate depends on how the counter chooses to filter the underlying rows.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    Any UK data-centre capacity figure attributed to the TEC register should be treated as an estimate derived from filtering choices rather than a published, authoritative total, until NESO adds a clean demand-only field.

First Reported In

Update #14 · Brazil bill ties tax break to a water cap

National Energy System Operator· 8 Sept 2026
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Different Perspectives
Chilean data-centre developers
Chilean data-centre developers
Seven projects, one linked to Google, asked SEA this month for rulings that they fall outside full environmental review; four declared diesel-storage volumes just under the review-triggering tonnage, mirroring the mechanism Alto Jahuel used in July. The clustering suggests the threshold is being engineered, not sized to need.
An Coimisiun Pleanala
An Coimisiun Pleanala
Ireland's planning appeals body refused the €1.5bn Killala data centre on 17 September, overturning Mayo County Council's 2025 grant for lack of a fixed grid-connection agreement and no corporate renewable power-purchase agreement. The ruling makes matched-power evidence, not planning consent alone, the deciding factor.
Housing Assembly and Foxglove
Housing Assembly and Foxglove
The two groups' 6 August appeal, filed through the Legal Resources Centre, kept Cape Town's approval of Equinix's data centre suspended through this window over missing water, emissions, noise and diesel-generator data. Deputy Mayor Eddie Andrews confirmed on 20-21 September that the suspension holds.
Brazil (President Lula, signing Redata)
Brazil (President Lula, signing Redata)
Lula signed Lei 15.504 on 15 September, creating the Redata tax programme and keeping the Senate's water cap with no veto, while Aneel authorised Scala's AI City to join the national grid from January 2028. Brazil is recruiting capacity other markets are now turning away.
Aragon regional government (Eva Valle)
Aragon regional government (Eva Valle)
Aragon's economy chief Eva Valle said on 11 September that Spain's draft decree, requiring 80% hourly-matched renewables via a 10-year power-purchase agreement, is unmeetable by any project and threatens Blackstone, Azora and Microsoft builds already under way. Aragon holds 3,600 MW of granted grid access against 108 MW built.
Texas Governor Greg Abbott
Texas Governor Greg Abbott
Abbott ordered TCEQ on 21 September to halt every pending data-centre permit until projects pay their own way and complete ERCOT and Texas Water Development Board audits. Texas built the country's most permissive data-centre market; freezing it signals even that market has hit its grid limit.