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Data Centres: Boom and Backlash
4AUG

Ofgem puts a price on the grid queue

3 min read
10:53UTC

Ofgem opened a consultation on 29 July proposing a Data Centre Commitment Fee of up to £712,500 per megawatt, payable the moment a developer accepts a connection offer and forfeited if the site is abandoned.

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Key takeaway

Ofgem would charge up to £712,500 per megawatt to reserve a grid connection, refunded only on energisation.

Ofgem, Britain's energy regulator, opened a consultation on Wednesday 29 July proposing a Data Centre Commitment Fee of £237,500 to £712,500 per megawatt (MW), the million-watt unit in which grid capacity is measured⁠1. The fee falls due when a developer accepts a grid connection offer. It is refunded when the site energises and forfeited if the developer walks away, so a one gigawatt campus would post up to £712.5 million simply to hold its place.

That range works out at 2.5 to 7.5 per cent of average project cost. A developer holding options on ten speculative sites must now finance ten deposits, and must separately evidence financial capability, commercial maturity and procurement activity to keep its position in the connection queue, the ordered list of projects waiting for a slot on the transmission network. The consultation closes on 16 September and sits inside the Demand Connections Reform programme run by the National Energy System Operator (NESO), the independent body that plans and operates Britain's electricity system.

Ofgem published its own trigger figure. Demand connection applications across Britain rose from 41 GW to 125 GW between November 2024 and June 2025, at least 80 GW of it data centres⁠2. That is a wider and later measure than the roughly 50 GW of transmission-level data-centre requests on the register we reported on 27 February, and the two are a progression rather than the same count restated. Ofgem's judgement is that much of the 125 GW will never be built and is displacing projects that would.

Holding a queue place has until now been close to free, which is why developers banked options across multiple sites and left the grid operator carrying the uncertainty. OpenAI put UK industrial electricity at more than four times US and Nordic rates when it paused its North Tyneside site. The fee adds a second cost, earlier in the decision, to a country already losing on the first one.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Think of the electricity grid connection queue like a waiting list for a table at a popular restaurant. Right now it costs nothing to put your name down, so people add themselves to several lists at once and only show up to one. Ofgem's plan makes you pay a deposit to hold your place, which you get back once you actually open for business, but lose if you walk away. The idea is to stop speculative data centre projects clogging the queue so real ones can connect faster.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

The structural problem is that a grid connection offer is a scarce, first-come queue position with no cost to holding it. Ofgem's own figures show demand applications rose 41 GW to 125 GW in seven months, far outstripping what the transmission network can physically connect, because reserving a place costs a developer nothing beyond the application itself.

A second structural driver is that data centre developers frequently apply for multiple sites to hedge against planning or power delays, then abandon all but one once a location is secured, which is rational for the individual developer but multiplies queue congestion for everyone behind them.

What could happen next?
  • Consequence

    Smaller or less-capitalised data centre developers may be priced out of the UK queue before the consultation even closes.

  • Precedent

    A UK per-MW deposit scheme, if adopted, gives other national regulators facing the same speculative-queue problem a second working model alongside Ireland's autoproducer requirement.

First Reported In

Update #12 · Ofgem prices the grid queue by the megawatt

Ofgem· 4 Aug 2026
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