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Christophe Fouquet
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Christophe Fouquet

CEO of ASML since 2024; guidance dropped its export-control hedge in Q2 2026 as China exposure stabilised.

Last refreshed: 16 July 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

Why did ASML stop naming its China export-control risk just as a US bill to govern its DUV sales went live?

Timeline for Christophe Fouquet

#12 15 Jul

Attributed the guidance raise to demand for advanced logic and memory chips

European Tech Sovereignty: ASML booms, Europe's fab gap holds
#4 5 May

Co-signed op-ed as ASML CEO; noted China revenue decline as financial subtext

European Tech Sovereignty: Seven CEOs ask Brussels for less
#3 15 Apr

Stated 2026 guidance accommodates potential outcomes of export control discussions

European Tech Sovereignty: ASML Q1 sales hold, China collapses to 19 per cent
View full timeline →

Background

Christophe Fouquet became CEO of ASML in April 2024, succeeding Peter Wennink who held the role for over a decade. His tenure has been defined by the structural shift in ASML's China business driven by tightening US export controls on DUV (Deep Ultraviolet) lithography machines. In Q1 2026, China's share of system sales fell to 19 per cent from 36 per cent in Q4 2025, a drop of roughly €1.8bn in a single quarter, and Fouquet said 2026 guidance "accommodates potential outcomes of ongoing discussions around export controls". By Q2, reported 15 July 2026, China had stabilised at roughly 20 per cent of full-year sales and Fouquet's guidance carried no such hedge, even with the bipartisan MATCH Act live in Congress since 24 June.

ASML is headquartered in Veldhoven, Netherlands, and is the world's sole manufacturer of EUV (Extreme Ultraviolet) lithography machines, which cannot legally be sold to China under current restrictions. Mature-node DUV tools can be sold to China under existing rules, but the MATCH Act would tighten that further. Fouquet raised full-year 2026 guidance twice in two quarters, from €36-40bn after Q1 to €43-45bn after Q2, on a quarter of €9.3bn net sales and 86 lithography systems sold, up from 67 in Q1.

Fouquet remains the public face of the European semiconductor industry's exposure to an export-control regime set in Washington rather than Brussels, even as his own guidance language has gone quiet on that exposure. His silence on the risk that dominated his Q1 remarks does not mean the risk has gone; it means ASML has stopped naming it in public. European semiconductor R&D has been cross-subsidised for years by Chinese DUV revenue, and Fouquet's capacity additions, 30% more low-NA EUV capacity for 2027, are going to fabs in Taiwan, South Korea and the US, not to any European leading-edge plant.

Common Questions
Who is Christophe Fouquet?
Christophe Fouquet is the CEO of ASML, the Dutch semiconductor equipment maker, appointed in April 2024 to succeed Peter Wennink. He is French.Source: ASML Investor Relations
What did ASML's CEO say about export controls in 2026?
In Q1 2026 Fouquet said ASML's guidance "accommodates potential outcomes of ongoing discussions around export controls". By Q2, reported 15 July, that hedge language had disappeared even as a US bill targeting ASML's China sales sat live in Congress.Source: ASML Investor Relations
Why did ASML's China revenue drop so sharply in Q1 2026?
China's share of ASML system sales fell from 36% in Q4 2025 to 19% in Q1 2026, a drop of roughly €1.8bn, driven by tightening US restrictions on DUV lithography machine exports.Source: ASML Investor Relations
Why did ASML drop its export-control hedge language in Q2 2026?
ASML's Q2 2026 guidance, reported 15 July, carried no reference to pending export-control outcomes, unlike its Q1 language. China's share of sales had stabilised at around 20%, and Fouquet attributed the guidance raise to AI-driven demand for advanced logic and memory chips.Source: ASML Q2 2026 investor call
How much did ASML raise its 2026 guidance to?
ASML raised full-year 2026 guidance to €43-45bn on 15 July 2026, its second increase in two quarters, up from the €36-40bn guided after Q1.Source: ASML Q2 2026 results