Skip to content
You can now search across every topic, entity and event.What's new
European Energy Markets
27JUL

Five Iranian cities hit on opening night

1 min read
09:24UTC

Joint US-Israeli airstrikes under Operation Roaring Lion / Epic Fury hit Iran's political capital, nuclear facilities, and regional military commands simultaneously on 28 February 2026.

EconomicDeveloping
Key takeaway

Simultaneous strikes on five Iranian cities — including Qom — indicate a campaign targeting nuclear infrastructure, air defences, and leadership in a single coordinated package rather than a graduated escalation.

The geographic spread of the strike package — Tehran (political command), Isfahan (advanced nuclear and aerospace facilities), Qom (hardened underground enrichment site), Karaj (centrifuge component production), and Kermanshah (western military command) — indicates a campaign designed to achieve three simultaneous objectives: suppress air defences, degrade nuclear infrastructure, and decapitate political and military leadership.

Striking five cities in a single night requires a substantially larger air package than any previous US-Israeli operation against Iranian facilities. The 2007 Israeli strike on Syria's Al-Kibar reactor involved a single target. The April and October 2024 Israeli strikes on Iran were limited to specific radar and air-defence nodes. Roaring Lion / Epic Fury operates at a categorically different scale.

The inclusion of QomIran's most politically sensitive religious city and home to the Fordow enrichment facility buried beneath it — signals that planners accepted the political cost of targeting a site with deep Shia religious significance. Previous Israeli operations avoided it precisely because of that framing risk. Its inclusion here suggests the nuclear objective overrode that constraint.

Kermanshah's targeting points to interdiction of Iranian ground force movements toward Iraq and degradation of western military district command capacity, limiting the ability to direct militia assets across the Iraqi border in the immediate aftermath.

Deep Analysis

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    Short term · Assessed
  • Meaning

    Short term · Assessed
  • Meaning

    Short term · Assessed
First Reported In

Update #2 · Five cities struck on opening night

SMARD / Bundesnetzagentur via Fraunhofer ISE energy-charts· 28 Feb 2026
Read original
Causes and effects
This Event
Five Iranian cities hit on opening night
Opening military action of a major US-Israeli strike campaign against Iran, representing a dramatic escalation of the broader conflict.
Led to
148 girls killed at Minab school strike
Roaring Lion strikes hit Minab school
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Assembly of Experts HQ destroyed in Qom
Roaring Lion strikes hit Assembly of Experts HQ
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
IRGC closes Hormuz; 20% of world oil cut
IRGC closed Hormuz in retaliation for strikes
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Israeli strikes reach central Tehran
Israeli strikes expanded from initial military and nuclear targets to central Tehran administrative infrastructure
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Nine killed at Karachi consulate protest
US-Israeli strikes on Iran triggered Shia solidarity protests in Karachi that turned lethal when Pakistani security forces opened fire at the US consulate
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Three US troops killed; no details given
US military operations in the Iran conflict resulted in the first three American combat fatalities
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Protests reach Kashmir from Karachi
Iran-Israel-US conflict triggered solidarity protests in Kashmir
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Israel claims air supremacy over Iran
Air supremacy declaration is the culmination of the US-Israeli strike campaign that began with Operation Epic Fury/Roaring Lion
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Pentagon: war will last 'weeks not days'
US defence official's duration assessment directly references the ongoing strike campaign
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
90 min; Pentagon produced zero evidence
Pentagon congressional briefing convened to justify strikes launched without congressional authorisation
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
War powers vote; it cannot stop the war
War powers votes triggered by strikes launched without congressional authorisation
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
India silent after Modi's Tel Aviv visit
India's silence on strikes is diplomatic positioning in response to the conflict
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Turkey braces for 1m Iranian refugees
Turkey's refugee infrastructure preparation driven by the Iran conflict
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
South Africa silent on Iran strikes
South Africa's silence is a notable diplomatic non-response given its prior ICJ action against Israel
Occurred 1 Mar 2026
Read story →
Different Perspectives
Slovakia
Slovakia
Slovakia says it dropped its hold-out on the 21st sanctions package only after Ursula von der Leyen personally signed written gas-price and supply guarantees. The Council of the European Union's own 17,238-character release on the package names neither Slovakia nor any guarantee, leaving Bratislava's account unconfirmed by the institutional record.
EU regulator on capacity mechanisms
EU regulator on capacity mechanisms
Brussels is watching Germany's StromVKG first 4.5 GW capacity auction move toward its 8 September bid deadline without a resolved state-aid clearance for the 9 GW 2026 programme's gas-plant subsidies. A negative spark spread this deep on cheap gas strengthens the case for subsidised dispatchable capacity, the same case still awaiting a state-aid ruling.
French power exporters
French power exporters
French day-ahead cleared EUR 41.13/MWh on Sunday 26 July, EUR 43.09 below Germany, on wind more than doubling and a demand trough, not on any nuclear recovery. The desk expects the discount to hold only as long as French wind and weekend demand repeat, not as a durable nuclear-cost advantage.
European gas storage operator
European gas storage operator
A storage operator stopped bidding for prompt TTF cargoes on 21 July, reading the strike-halt unwind as the start of a fuel-side correction rather than a floor. It expects the gap between prompt and forward gas to keep narrowing as the war premium continues leaving the curve.
German gas-fired power fleet
German gas-fired power fleet
German gas-fired plants cut output from 4.37 GW to 2.85 GW between 24 and 27 July, even as TTF fell 8 per cent, because below roughly minus EUR 40/MWh the fuel price stopped deciding dispatch. The fleet expects no relief until wind eases or StromVKG's first 4.5 GW auction adds capacity.
French industrial power consumers
French industrial power consumers
France's day-ahead discount to Germany has nearly closed as TTF and EUA rise together on both sides of the border, eroding the arbitrage French industry relied on through the summer. A standing negative spark removes the German demand buffer that kept that spread wide.