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Data Centres: Boom and Backlash
26MAY

Tax fight kills Virginia projects early

3 min read
11:34UTC

Compass Datacenters walked away from two Greensville County and Emporia sites before filing a single planning application, with Finance Secretary Mark Sickles telling the Senate Finance Committee tax uncertainty alone drove the exit.

IndustryDeveloping
Key takeaway

State fiscal uncertainty is now cancelling data-centre projects upstream of the permitting process entirely.

Compass Datacenters halted its search for two sites in Greensville County and Emporia, Virginia, and Finance Secretary Mark Sickles told the Senate Finance Committee the projects were lost to tax uncertainty alone, before a single planning application was filed. 1 Virginia's state budget has been stalled since early March over whether to end the data-centre tax exemption eight years early. Senate Finance chair Louise Lucas wants it gone by 2026; the House wants it extended to 2035. For Southside counties that means jobs averaging $100,000 a year walked away from places where the median household earns $56,759.

The Virginia Court of Appeals voided Prince William's Digital Gateway rezoning earlier in the spring, and Compass withdrew there too ; the county then dropped its appeal, extinguishing a 2,000-acre plan . Those fights bit at the planning stage. The Compass exit this time happened before any application existed, which shows the constraint moving upstream of permitting entirely.

Virginia built its cluster on a 2035 abatement commitment . Unwinding it retroactively makes the state legally unreliable for anything committed from 2026 on, and it puts the forward pipeline of the world's most concentrated data-centre market at risk through fiscal policy rather than zoning refusal.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Virginia has been offering data-centre companies a special tax break on the equipment they buy, exempting them from sales tax on servers and networking gear. This exemption runs until 2035 and was a major reason Virginia became home to the world's largest concentration of data centres, around Loudoun County near Washington DC. Senate Finance chair Louise Lucas wants to end the exemption in 2026, eight years early. The House wants to keep it to 2035. The two sides have been deadlocked since March, stalling the entire state budget. Compass Datacenters was quietly scouting two sites in Southside Virginia, a poorer rural area south of Richmond, for new campuses. Before filing any formal applications, it stopped looking. Finance Secretary Mark Sickles told a Senate committee those two opportunities were lost purely because of the tax uncertainty. At $100,000 average salary, those jobs matter enormously in counties where households earn a median of $56,759.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

Virginia's 2035 abatement commitment was extended in 2018 as a competitive response to Amazon's HQ2 site search, making it part of the implicit contract that drew $100bn-plus of campus investment into Northern Virginia over seven years.

The fiscal-backlash pressure is directly proportional to the cluster's success: every new campus that opens increases the abatement's annual cost to the state's general fund, making it politically visible to constituents outside the data-centre corridor. Senator Lucas's district in Portsmouth is not a data-centre beneficiary, which structurally positions the Senate Finance chair as a voice for the abatement's cost rather than its benefits.

What could happen next?
  • Risk

    If the abatement is cut retroactively, projects already announced but not yet under construction could trigger force-majeure clauses in site agreements, unwinding investment that Virginia's economic development pipeline has already counted.

  • Consequence

    Southside Virginia counties, which have weaker alternative economic attractors than Northern Virginia, absorb the greatest employment loss from pipeline cancellations.

First Reported In

Update #4 · Grid wins power to switch off data centres

Cardinal News· 26 May 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
EdgeConneX in Italy (EU market)
EdgeConneX in Italy (EU market)
EdgeConneX committed €3bn to Italian data-centre capacity starting in 2026, routing capital to a jurisdiction where AI Act and NIS2 mandates create structural demand for EU-resident compute and the government actively attracts investment; Virginia's fiscal standoff and US moratoriums are redirecting pipeline offshore.
Enbridge and Baker Hughes (firmed-power and oilfield-services suppliers)
Enbridge and Baker Hughes (firmed-power and oilfield-services suppliers)
Enbridge committed $1.2bn to Wyoming solar-plus-storage for Meta and Baker Hughes redirected oilfield drilling capacity into enhanced geothermal in New Mexico; both companies are routing capital away from fossil infrastructure into data-centre power procurement at precisely the moment BTM gas became a federal curtailment target.
US federal regulators (DOE and FERC)
US federal regulators (DOE and FERC)
DOE reached for Section 202(c) twice in five months naming the same BTM load class, while FERC rejected PJM's bid to redefine the 20 MW co-located load threshold in April; together they have treated private data-centre generation as a dispatchable grid resource before the permanent RM26-4-000 rule settling its legal status has been written.
European energy regulators and climate advocates
European energy regulators and climate advocates
GE Vernova's 100 GW gas-turbine backlog, driven by AI data-centre demand, puts IEA net-zero pathways under pressure: 15-27 GW of onsite gas is forecast for US data centres by 2030. The Amazon Boardman $20.5m pollution settlement gives environmental litigation a financial template it previously lacked.
Irish Commission for Regulation of Utilities (CRU)
Irish Commission for Regulation of Utilities (CRU)
The CRU-compliant Pure DC behind-the-meter template gives operators a replicable European consent pathway outside the UK queue. Ireland's existing hyperscaler density and the CRU framework's behind-the-meter provisions make it the lowest-friction large-load jurisdiction in Europe for 2026 approvals.
Nordic operators (Equinix-CPP-atNorth, Aikido Technologies)
Nordic operators (Equinix-CPP-atNorth, Aikido Technologies)
Equinix's CPP-atNorth acquisition and Aikido's AO60DC floating-wind pilot at METCentre Norway offer hyperscalers a consented, low-carbon supply chain that bypasses both US moratorium risk and European grid queues. Norway's renewable surplus and Fingrid connection windows make the Nordic corridor the clearest alternative supply chain in the current environment.