University of Florida Election Lab
University of Florida turnout project; estimates 124.3 million 2026 midterm ballots, a record.
About 124.3 million ballots were cast in the 2026 midterms, a raw midterm record, on University of Florida Election Lab estimates dated 10 November. The Lab's turnout rate of 49.4% trails only 2018.
Last refreshed: 11 November 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic
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Estimated 124.3 million ballots and 49.4% turnout
US Midterms 2026: UF Election Lab counts 124.3m ballotsBackground
The University of Florida Election Lab estimates that about 124.3 million ballots were cast in the 2026 midterms, a raw record for a midterm. Its turnout rate of 49.4% of eligible voters ranks second to 2018's 50.05%. A bigger electorate explains the record as much as extra enthusiasm does.
The Lab is run by the political scientist Michael McDonald, who produces national and state turnout data for US general elections and tracks early voting before polling day. Its first 2026 turnout figures drew mainly on Associated Press day-after estimates.
Early voting ran heavy, including 188,667 in-person votes on Georgia's first day. The Lab warns its figures are least certain in California and Washington State, where mail ballots are still arriving.
How many people voted in the 2026 midterms?
What was voter turnout in the 2026 midterm elections?
Who runs the University of Florida Election Lab?
Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Updated 11 November 2026. Editorial standards.