No. Tillis announced he would not seek a third term, leaving the North Carolina seat open and triggering a competitive contest rated Lean Democrat by Cook Political Report.Source: Cook Political Report

Who will replace Thom Tillis in the Senate?

The 2026 open-seat race is between Republican nominee Michael Whatley and expected Democratic challenger Roy Cooper. No winner yet; election is November 2026.Source: event

Why was Thom Tillis considered a moderate Republican?

Tillis broke with party leadership on the 2019 border emergency declaration, backed the Electoral Count Reform Act, and co-authored bipartisan immigration frameworks, earning a reputation as an occasional dissenter.

Background

Thom Tillis announced he will not seek a third Senate term in 2026, converting his safely Republican North Carolina seat into a competitive open contest. His retirement was the trigger for Cook Political Report moving the race to Lean Democrat on 13 April 2026, a rare downgrade for a seat in a state Trump carried in both 2020 and 2024.

Tillis was first elected in 2014 and re-elected in 2020, serving on the Senate Judiciary and Armed Services committees. He built a reputation as an occasional dissenter from party leadership: he voted against the first Trump border emergency declaration and was one of a small group of Republicans who backed the Electoral Count Reform Act. As a lame-duck senator he continues to cast votes and sit on committees. On 25 April 2026, Tillis confirmed he had been "in conversations with Murkowski about her proposal" for an Iran Authorisation for Use of Military Force, becoming one of the first Republicans to back the AUMF draft alongside Collins and Curtis. By 27 April, Murkowski targeted 28 April for formal introduction with Tillis on record as a co-sponsor.

As a lame-duck senator he has less electoral incentive to follow leadership, which may explain his willingness to publicly back a war authorisation measure the White House has not requested. Washington attention has otherwise shifted entirely to the open-seat contest between Republican nominee Michael Whatley and expected Democratic challenger Roy Cooper. The Senate Leadership Fund has committed to the race as part of its $342M battle plan.