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Rigamer
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Rigamer

Louisiana polling firm; June 2026 survey showed the Senate runoff deadlocked.

Last refreshed: 21 June 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

What did Rigamer's poll reveal about the Louisiana Senate runoff in June 2026?

Timeline for Rigamer

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Background

Rigamer is a Louisiana-based market research and survey firm. It operates primarily within the Gulf South and is periodically commissioned to Conduct political surveys on Louisiana state races. In June 2026, a Rigamer poll fielded 15-16 June found Louisiana Senate runoff candidate Julia Letlow at 40.2% against John Fleming's 38.2%, a margin inside the statistical margin of error that effectively called the race a tie . The result was notable because a Kaplan Research survey from early June had shown Letlow ahead by 15 points (52 to 37), indicating a sharp collapse in her lead in under three weeks.

Rigamer is not a nationally prominent pollster and does not appear routinely in major aggregators. Its work is concentrated in Louisiana political and commercial research, and it is one of few firms that conducts bespoke surveys on state runoff elections in the Gulf South where national polling organisations rarely operate. The firm is associated with the Gris Group, a Louisiana market research consultancy; corporate details are not widely publicised and Lowdown does not have verified founding or ownership information beyond what is publicly observable.

For the Louisiana Senate runoff, the Rigamer poll was the primary independent data point available ahead of the 27 June 2026 runoff date, and was widely cited as evidence that Fleming's late surge on minimal outside funding had made the race genuinely competitive.

Common Questions
What did the Rigamer poll show about the Louisiana Senate runoff in June 2026?
A Rigamer poll fielded 15-16 June 2026 put Julia Letlow at 40.2% and John Fleming at 38.2%, a margin within the statistical margin of error that effectively called the race a tie after Letlow had led by 15 points in early June.Source: Lowdown US Midterms 2026 Update #10
Who is Rigamer and why does their Louisiana poll matter?
Rigamer is a Louisiana-based market research firm associated with the Gris Group. It is one of very few organisations that commissions bespoke surveys on Louisiana state runoffs, making its results the primary independent data available in races where national pollsters do not typically operate.Source: Lowdown US Midterms 2026 Update #10
How much did Julia Letlow's lead shrink before the Louisiana Senate runoff?
Letlow's lead collapsed from roughly 15 points (52 to 37 in a Kaplan survey from early June) to inside the margin of error (40.2 to 38.2 in the Rigamer poll from 15-16 June), a swing of more than 10 points in under three weeks.Source: Lowdown US Midterms 2026 Update #10