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Norwegian Offshore Directorate
OrganisationNO

Norwegian Offshore Directorate

Norwegian government regulator publishing monthly NCS gas production data; reported second consecutive monthly decline in March 2026.

Last refreshed: 4 May 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

Are Norway's official gas production figures revealing a deeper supply problem than EU storage models assume?

Timeline for Norwegian Offshore Directorate

#71 May

Published March 2026 gas production print showing second consecutive monthly decline

European Energy Markets: Sodir prints second monthly Norwegian decline
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Common Questions
What is the Norwegian Offshore Directorate and what data does it publish?
The Norwegian Offshore Directorate (Sodir, formerly NPD) is the Norwegian government agency that regulates offshore petroleum activities and publishes monthly production statistics for the Norwegian Continental Shelf. Its data is the authoritative source for Norwegian gas and oil output figures used by EU energy markets and policy bodies.Source: Norwegian Offshore Directorate (Sodir)
What did Sodir say about Norwegian gas production in March 2026?
Sodir's 1 May 2026 release showed March 2026 Norwegian gas sales of 10.8 bcm and average production of 349.3 mcm/day, down 1.6% month-on-month and 0.8% year-on-year. This was the second consecutive monthly decline, contradicting EU refill models that assume Norwegian supply holds at the 2025 average.Source: Norwegian Offshore Directorate (Sodir)
How does Norway's gas output affect European energy prices?
Norway supplies roughly 25-30% of EU gas consumption via NCS pipelines. When Sodir reports consecutive monthly production declines, EU storage modellers must revise the Norwegian supply contribution downward, widening the gap between observed injection pace and the 0.257 pp/day floor needed for 80% EU storage fill by 1 November 2026.Source: Norwegian Offshore Directorate / Bruegel

Background

The Norwegian Offshore Directorate (Sodir, formerly the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate or NPD until its 2024 rebranding) is the Norwegian government agency responsible for regulating offshore petroleum activities on the Norwegian Continental Shelf and publishing monthly production statistics. It is the primary authoritative source for NCS gas and oil production data used by European energy markets, grid operators, and policy bodies.

Sodir published March 2026 gas production statistics on 1 May 2026 showing gas sales of 10.8 bcm and average production of 349.3 mcm/day, marking the second consecutive month of marginal decline at -1.6% MoM and -0.8% YoY. The April release is expected to show further decline given Hammerfest LNG's outage from 22 April. EU refill models from Bruegel and ACER implicitly assume Norwegian supply holds at the 2025 average; the March data contradicts that assumption, widening the injection pace gap.

Sodir's data function in the European energy intelligence cycle is analogous to ENTSOG's pipeline flow nominations: it provides the authoritative production baseline against which LNG terminal utilisation and storage fill trajectories are calibrated. When Sodir prints a second consecutive monthly decline, EU storage modellers must revise the Norwegian supply contribution downward, making the 0.257 pp/day injection floor harder to reach at current LNG terminal utilisation.

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