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Institute for the Study of War
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Institute for the Study of War

Washington think tank publishing daily battlefield assessments of the Russia-Ukraine war since 2007.

Last refreshed: 30 March 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

Can a think tank track both sides of a war without being captured by one?

Latest on Institute for the Study of War

Common Questions
What is the Institute for the Study of War?
The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a Washington, D.C.-based non-partisan defence research organisation founded in 2007. It publishes daily battlefield assessments of the Russia-Ukraine war, including interactive control maps and order-of-battle analysis used by Western governments and military staffs.Source: ISW
Did ISW confirm Russia’s spring 2026 offensive?
Yes. In March 2026 ISW assessed that Russia’s spring-summer offensive was under way, corroborating Ukrainian General Staff data showing 619 ground attacks over four days from 17 to 20 March, with 163 directed at the Pokrovsk axis alone.Source: ISW / Syrskyi briefing
What did ISW find about Russian territorial gains in early 2026?
ISW data, compiled with the Harvard Belfer Center, showed Russia’s advance rate had decelerated fivefold between mid-2025 and February 2026, from 130-150 sq km per week to 33-50 sq km per week. Russia recorded its first sustained net territorial loss since 2023 in the period 17 February to 17 March 2026.Source: ISW / Harvard Belfer Center
How does ISW differ from the Harvard Belfer Center on Ukraine analysis?
ISW produces the underlying daily battlefield data (event logs, control maps, order-of-battle). The Harvard Belfer Center’s Russia Matters project synthesises ISW’s raw data into longer-run trend analysis. The two organisations collaborated directly on the February-March 2026 territorial assessment.Source: ISW / Harvard Belfer Center
Is ISW reliable for Ukraine war reporting?
ISW is widely cited by Western governments, military staffs, and major news outlets as a primary source for battlefield analysis. Russia disputes its findings, calling it a Western-funded propaganda outlet. ISW’s assessments are corroborated by Ukrainian General Staff data and, in the 2026 territorial study, by the Harvard Belfer Center.Source: ISW

Background

The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) is a Washington, D.C.-based non-partisan defence research organisation founded in 2007 by Kimberly Kagan. It produces daily battlefield assessments, interactive control maps, and order-of-battle analysis of the Russia-Ukraine war, and has become a primary reference for Western governments, military staffs, and journalists tracking the conflict.

In March 2026, ISW confirmed that Russia had launched its spring-summer offensive, recording 619 ground attacks over four days from 17 to 20 March . Working with the Harvard Belfer Center, ISW data documented the first sustained net Ukrainian territorial gain since 2023, with Russia’s advance rate decelerating fivefold between mid-2025 and early 2026 . ISW had earlier assessed that Ukrainian counterattacks in Zaporizhzhia "significantly complicated Russia’s plans" for a spring push .

ISW’s assessments carry particular weight because they directly shape Western military and policy thinking. The tension in its 2026 reporting is stark: ISW simultaneously confirmed Russia’s offensive was under way and documented Ukraine’s counter-gains forcing Russian redeployment, leaving open the question of which trajectory dominates.

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