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Marquette

Marquette University Law School Poll; non-partisan academic pollster based in Milwaukee.

Last refreshed: 21 June 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

Does Marquette's generic ballot put Democrats above the threshold to take the House?

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Background

The Marquette University Law School Poll (MULSP), launched in 2012 and based in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, is a well-regarded non-partisan polling programme that covers both Wisconsin state politics and national electoral topics. Its director, Charles Franklin, is a quantitative political scientist whose methodology notes are widely read by political journalists. For the 2026 midterms, Marquette has published generic-ballot readings that cluster in the D+3 to D+5 range alongside institutional pollsters such as NBC and Reuters/Ipsos, putting it in the centre of the current polling distribution .

The poll is fielded via live telephone interviews and, in some cycles, online panels. It publishes full crosstabs and methodology documentation. It is best known for its Wisconsin Senate and gubernatorial tracking, having produced a consistent series through the competitive 2022 and 2024 cycles. Its national generic-ballot surveys are a more recent addition to the programme.

In the context of the 2026 House race, Marquette's D+3 to D+5 readings are significant because analysts such as CNN's Harry Enten assess that Democrats need roughly D+3 to D+4 to overcome the Republican redistricting advantage. A reading at the lower bound of Marquette's range would place Democrats right at that threshold, making it a key data point for projections of House control.

Common Questions
What is the Marquette Law School Poll's generic ballot reading for 2026?
In mid-June 2026, Marquette's generic congressional ballot sat in the D+3 to D+5 range, clustering with other institutional pollsters such as NBC and Reuters/Ipsos.Source: Lowdown US Midterms 2026 Update #10
Who runs the Marquette Law School Poll?
The poll is run by Charles Franklin, a quantitative political scientist at Marquette University Law School in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.Source: Marquette University Law School Poll
How reliable is the Marquette University poll compared with other major pollsters?
Marquette is rated a high-quality pollster and is best known for its Wisconsin state tracking, which has been accurate across multiple competitive Senate and gubernatorial races.Source: Marquette University Law School Poll
Source Material