Skip to content
Welcome, thoughtbot's Giant Robots listeners!Start here
Is Britain Actually Broke?
22OCT

PPF index rises to 133.0% funded in July

2 min read
16:23UTC

The Pension Protection Fund put company defined-benefit schemes at 133.0% funded on 31 July, a £271.3bn surplus across 4,838 schemes, because rising yields cut what those schemes owe.

EconomicDeveloping
Key takeaway

Company pension schemes reached 133.0% funded at 31 July, a £271.3bn surplus across 4,838 schemes.

The Pension Protection Fund (PPF), the statutory body that pays compensation when a company pension scheme fails, put its 7800 index at 133.0% funded at 31 July 2026, up from 131.1% at the end of June⁠1. The index is the standard monthly read on the 4,838 remaining defined-benefit schemes in the United Kingdom, the kind that promise a set retirement income rather than a pot of investments. In cash terms the aggregate surplus reached £271.3bn, against £264.0bn a month earlier, or roughly £1.33 of assets behind every £1 promised.

The PPF attributes the move to a 30 basis point rise in ten-year fixed-interest gilt yields over July, which cut the measured value of scheme liabilities by 3.1% while the value of their assets fell 1.7%⁠2. A scheme's liability is a set of payments falling due over decades, and it is valued by discounting those payments back to today using a market yield. Raise the yield and the same promise costs less to carry now, so the funding ratio improves without a penny changing hands.

That is worth stating plainly for anyone whose pension statement looks healthier this month. The promised payout does not change when the index moves; what changes is the price of carrying it. A scheme funded at 133.0% still owes exactly what it owed in June.

This desk declared its trigger on the pensions ledger at a funding ratio below 110%, and the July reading sits 23 points above it⁠3. The same yield move that lifted it landed on the government's own borrowing in the opposite direction, at the auctions the Debt Management Office ran through the window.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

A defined-benefit pension scheme promises to pay a set income in retirement. Whether it can afford to depends on the value of its assets, its investments, against its liabilities, the estimated cost of all the pensions it has promised to pay in future. The Pension Protection Fund tracks this across 4,838 such schemes. At 133.0% funded, the schemes together hold £271.3bn more in assets than their liabilities require, up from £264.0bn a month earlier. This is an aggregate figure; individual schemes can still be underfunded even while the average looks healthy.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    A rising gilt yield is not a single direction of financial distress: it improved private pension scheme funding in this release even as it raises the government's own borrowing cost elsewhere in the same window.

First Reported In

Update #2 · Three household registers, three answers

Pension Protection Fund· 20 Aug 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
Pension Protection Fund
Pension Protection Fund
Acting chief actuary Aaron Pang put the rise to 135.0% funded down to liabilities falling 2.1% against a 1.0% fall in assets, reflecting higher gilt yields. On Lowdown's reading, the yields that lift the Treasury's interest bill leave 4,838 company schemes with a £280.7bn surplus that does not reduce state borrowing.
Torsten Bell
Torsten Bell
The Labour figure wrote on 14 October that the IMF's October figures show the fastest fiscal consolidation in the G7. The IMF forecasts the UK deficit falling from 3.8% of GDP in 2026 to 1.4% in 2031, a squeeze still to be delivered through taxes and spending.
Tax Justice UK
Tax Justice UK
The left-leaning campaign group says ten tax reforms would raise over £60bn a year for public services, and on 22 October asked why higher taxes on extreme wealth remain politically difficult. It offers the tax-led exit to the IEA's cuts; the £60bn is its own claim, not an official costing.
Institute of Economic Affairs
Institute of Economic Affairs
The free-market think tank's Alternative Budget of 19 October would suspend the state pension triple lock for three years, freeze welfare in cash terms and move tax onto a wider VAT. It claims the day-to-day budget returns to surplus in 2027-28, its own projection rather than an official costing.
Resolution Foundation
Resolution Foundation
The living-standards think tank said welfare spending ran about £2.5bn above expectations in September, City AM reported on 21 October, and its economist Greg Thwaites urged targeted energy support. Its figure lands as a Chancellor who calls welfare cuts a moral duty finalises the 28 October Budget.
Institute for Fiscal Studies
Institute for Fiscal Studies
Director Helen Miller said a steady-as-she-goes Budget is not an option, with the IFS putting 2029-30 headroom at about £20bn, The Independent reported on 12 October. The IFS puts the cost of avoiding cuts and funding higher defence at around £35bn of tax rises or benefit cuts, more than any headroom estimate in circulation.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.