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6,530 dead by day 25 — Hengaw report

1 min read

08:35UTC

Hengaw's count reached 6,530 killed through Day 25. The eighth report, covering the last week, is overdue.

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Key takeaway

Both sides' casualty tolls are climbing with no ceasefire in sight.

Hengaw's seventh report confirmed 6,530 killed through Day 25 (24 March), including 640 civilians, 130 children, and 173 women across 186 cities in 26 provinces. ¹ An eighth report covering days 25 to 31 is overdue. Israel recorded 6,131 total hospitalisations since 28 February, with 118 currently hospitalised. Four Israeli soldiers were killed in a south Lebanon clash with Hezbollah on 31 March. ²

The civilian toll in Iran already exceeds total coalition fatalities in the 2003 Iraq invasion. The gap between Hengaw's figures and the Iranian government's official count of 1,937 remains wide and unexplained.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Hengaw is a Kurdish human rights organisation that has been tracking casualties inside Iran since the war began. Their seventh report, covering the first 25 days of the war, documented 6,530 people killed, including 640 civilians, 130 children, and 173 women. To put that in context: total coalition military fatalities in the entire 2003 Iraq invasion were around 172. Iran has lost more civilians in 25 days than the US-led coalition lost in total during the fall of Baghdad. An eighth report covering the week since then is overdue. At the documented rate of roughly 20 civilian deaths per day, the current civilian death toll in Iran likely exceeds 800 by now. On the Israeli side, 6,131 people have been hospitalised since the war began, with four soldiers killed in a clash with Hezbollah in Lebanon on 31 March.

Sources:Times of Israel·Hengaw Organisation for Human Rights·Hengaw Organisation for Human Rights

Mentions:Lebanon →Hengaw →Hezbollah →

First Reported In

Update #53 · Trump drops Hormuz goal; toll becomes law

Times of Israel· 31 Mar 2026

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Causes and effects

Caused by

Hengaw: 6,900 dead in first month

Hengaw's seventh report updates the 6,530 toll that underpins the humanitarian casualty tracking established through earlier Hengaw reports.

Occurred 28 Mar 2026

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This Event

6,530 dead by day 25 — Hengaw report

Iranian civilian casualties already exceed total coalition fatalities in the 2003 Iraq invasion, with a week of data still unreported.

Led to

Day 29: 6,900 dead; official toll frozen

Hengaw's 8th report (6,900 dead) builds directly on the 7th report (ID:1757, 6,530 dead), showing the toll continues to rise.

Occurred 28 Mar 2026

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Different Perspectives

Gulf shipping and insurance markets

With Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb both hostile at once, war-risk underwriters face their first dual-chokepoint pricing problem; the rerouting hedge that absorbed one closure is gone for Israeli-linked hulls. Any deal that reopens Hormuz without a Houthi stand-down clause delivers only partial shipping relief.

Russia and China

Russia and China met IAEA chief Grossi jointly in Geneva on 5 June to coordinate an advance blocking position against Washington's censure resolution, the first documented instance of proactive pre-session obstruction rather than reactive post-vote dissent. Beijing's move came four days after OFAC designated Shanghai Qianye Energy under Iran energy sanctions.

Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia was left out of the emergency $4.01 billion Patriot waiver Qatar received on 2 May as its own PAC-3 stocks ran near-empty from intercepting Iranian salvoes over Aramco facilities. Riyadh is on a standard 18-month FMS queue behind a production line booked through 2030, with no equivalent priority to Qatar's Al Udeid basing role.

Houthis (Ansar Allah)

The Houthis declared a complete ban on Israeli Red Sea navigation on 8 June and struck Jaffa, their first attack on Israeli territory since April, seven days after the Tasnim authorisation to activate other fronts including Bab el-Mandeb. The declaration put both chokepoints under hostile authority simultaneously.

Iran

Iran agreed the 9 June mutual halt after the Mahshahr exchange and coordinated with Russia and China to block Washington's IAEA censure resolution, using the Board as a second front while the bilateral pause held on the military one. Tehran's acceptance of the Lebanon carve-out contradicts the linkage position it stated on 1 June.

Benjamin Netanyahu and the IDF

Israel struck the Karun Petrochemical plant at Mahshahr on 8 June over Trump's explicit objection, then agreed a halt with Iran the following day scoped on Israeli terms with Lebanon carved out. Netanyahu's posture is that the IDF will not accept Iranian missile factories as off-limits regardless of US diplomatic timelines.