Iran's Deputy Health Minister Ali Jafarian revised the official death toll upward to 1,937 killed, including 240 women and 212 children, with over 24,800 injured.1 Hengaw, a Kurdish human rights organisation documenting the conflict, reported 6,530 killed as of Day 25, producing a ratio of 3.4 to 1 against the government's figure, up from 2.5 to 1 at Day 18.
The divergence between official and documented figures is widening, not stabilising. The methodological differences between official hospital records and Hengaw's network-based field documentation across 26 of Iran's 31 provinces are not publicly disclosed. HRANA, a separate Iranian human rights organisation, counts 3,291, placing its figure between the two. Neither Hengaw nor HRANA can be independently verified from outside Iran.
The direction of the divergence matters more than the precise figure. Official figures are revised upward slowly; Hengaw's documentation adds cases at a faster rate as its network processes information. The gap widening from 2.5 to 3.4 times over seven days suggests the official count is systematically under-reporting, not merely lagging.
