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Iran Conflict 2026
3MAR

Pakistan confirms talks; Ghalibaf denies

2 min read
11:57UTC
ConflictDeveloping

Pakistan Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar confirmed on 26 March that Pakistan is facilitating indirect talks between the US and Iran, relaying a 15-point American proposal that Tehran is reviewing. 1 Dar stated publicly that 'the United States has shared 15 points, being deliberated upon by Iran.' The White House would not confirm any scheduled meeting, stating 'nothing official until announced by White House.' Vice President JD Vance has been proposed as the US interlocutor; Parliamentary Speaker Ghalibaf as the Iranian counterpart .

The Pakistan confirmation is the first time a third-party intermediary has publicly confirmed the existence of a channel, distinct from Iran's prior denial of any negotiations . India, Pakistan, Iraq, Malaysia, and China had previously negotiated directly with Tehran on bilateral transit arrangements , establishing Pakistan's credibility as an interlocutor with access to the Iranian government.

The contradiction at the centre of this development is Ghalibaf himself. On the same day Pakistan confirmed the talks and secured his removal from the joint targeting list, Ghalibaf called Trump's claim of Iranian peace overtures an attempt to 'escape the quagmire.' 2 He also threatened an unnamed regional neighbour, widely understood to be the UAE, with 'continuous and relentless attacks' on vital infrastructure if it assists in a Kharg Island operation. 3

Iran's proposed peace envoy is publicly threatening to destroy Gulf infrastructure on the day his protective status is confirmed. This is either sophisticated negotiating posture (arrive at the table having demonstrated willingness to burn it) or evidence that the talks have no Iranian institutional backing and Ghalibaf is performing for a domestic audience rather than engaging with the diplomatic framework Pakistan has built.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Pakistan's foreign minister announced publicly that Pakistan is passing messages between the US and Iran, and that the US has sent Iran a list of 15 proposals for ending the war. On the same day, the Iranian official who was supposed to sit across from the US vice-president in Islamabad called the whole thing an attempt by Trump to 'escape the quagmire' and threatened to attack Gulf states. Whether that is Iran playing hardball before sitting down, or Iran signalling it has no intention of talking, is the central question nobody can answer yet.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

The structural tension is between domestic political positioning and diplomatic flexibility. Ghalibaf represents the hardline parliamentary faction and calculates that demonstrating strength domestically is more valuable than demonstrating flexibility internationally.

Pakistan's incentive to publicise the channel differs from Iran's incentive to keep it quiet. The mediator's credibility requirements conflict with the parties' secrecy requirements.

First Reported In

Update #49 · Hormuz toll into law; Tangsiri killed

Arab News / Wall Street Journal· 27 Mar 2026
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Different Perspectives
Oil markets / Lloyd's underwriters
Oil markets / Lloyd's underwriters
Futures markets priced CENTCOM's strikes-complete statement as a de-escalation signal and pushed Brent down 1.7 per cent to $94.71, even as the IRGC declared Hormuz closed. Lloyd's war-risk premiums held elevated because institutional de-listing requires a UN Security Council resolution that Russia and China have just shown they will block.
Pakistan (mediator)
Pakistan (mediator)
Interior minister Mohsin Naqvi carried dual civilian and military letters to Mojtaba Khamenei in Tehran on 6-7 June with no public response. The IRGC's Hormuz closure on 11 June shows the corps is acting independently of the channel Pakistan is using, making the mediation structurally unable to produce a binding commitment without direct IRGC access.
Russia and China
Russia and China
Russia and China voted against GOV/2026/40 at the IAEA Board, following through on the blocking position coordinated with Grossi in Geneva on 5 June; both states continue to oppose Western institutional pressure on Iran at every multilateral venue.
E3 and IAEA (UK, France, Germany)
E3 and IAEA (UK, France, Germany)
The E3 co-sponsored IAEA resolution GOV/2026/40, adopted 21-3-10 on 10 June, demanding Iran disclose 440.9 kg of unaccounted HEU and admit inspectors to four denied facilities. The 10 abstentions and Russia-China noes leave any Security Council referral without a viable enforcement path.
IRGC / Iran military command
IRGC / Iran military command
The corps declared Hormuz closed to all traffic on 11 June and claimed two vessels struck, overriding the MoU its own civilian negotiators were pursuing through Pakistan. The closure order used the Persian Gulf Strait Authority apparatus to convert a toll mechanism into a military prohibition.
Trump administration / CENTCOM
Trump administration / CENTCOM
CENTCOM completed a second day of strikes on Tehran, Sirik and Minab, rejected the IRGC Hormuz closure as inconsistent with observed transit, and said strikes were complete. Hegseth framed the bombing explicitly as the negotiation: the method is coercive deal-making with no stated pause threshold.