Skip to content
Welcome, thoughtbot's Giant Robots listeners!Start here
AI: Jobs, Power & Money
24AUG

OpenAI holds $1tn, slips IPO to 2027

2 min read
16:17UTC

OpenAI is leaning towards delaying its IPO to 2027 rather than cut its roughly $1tn valuation, according to reporting relayed by Bloomberg and Reuters.

EconomicDeveloping
Key takeaway

OpenAI would rather wait two years than list at a discount, per reporting it has not confirmed.

OpenAI is now leaning towards delaying its initial public offering (IPO) to 2027, according to reporting by The New York Times relayed by Bloomberg and Reuters on 25 June. Advisers gave chief executive Sam Altman two options: wait for the roughly $1 trillion valuation, or cut it to list sooner in 2026. Altman rejected the discount, which means the price the company wants outranks the timetable investors expected.⁠1

He cited recent tech-stock volatility and the rocky market debut of SpaceX, which cooled retail-investor appetite. OpenAI has kept the S-1 registration confidential, with no audited financials public. The 9 June filing had targeted a September listing above one trillion dollars, so the valuation holds while the timetable slips into 2027.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

OpenAI, the company behind ChatGPT, had been expected to sell shares to the public, known as an IPO, as early as September 2026, at a value of more than $1 trillion. According to reporting from Bloomberg and Reuters on 25 June, OpenAI's leadership, including chief executive Sam Altman, is now leaning toward waiting until 2027 instead. Why wait? Going public means being valued by ordinary investors buying and selling shares every day, and that public price can turn out lower than the private value investors have agreed to pay so far. SpaceX's own 2026 stock market debut was rocky, which reportedly made OpenAI's leadership more cautious about testing its own high valuation in public markets right now.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

OpenAI's reported operating losses of roughly $14bn against about $2bn in monthly revenue, disclosed in its 9 June confidential filing, mean any IPO pricing conversation is really a bet on when the company reaches operating leverage, not on current earnings; delaying to 2027 buys another eighteen months for the revenue run-rate to catch up with the valuation math underwriters would need to defend publicly.

The rocky SpaceX debut removed the market-conditions argument for rushing a 2026 listing at a discount, since the marginal benefit of listing earlier, faster liquidity for early investors and staff, no longer clearly outweighs the marginal cost of a valuation reset that becomes public and permanent.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    OpenAI choosing to delay rather than discount its listing signals private capital is currently pricing frontier AI more generously than public markets are likely to, at least until revenue growth catches up with the roughly $14bn annual operating loss reported in its confidential filing (ID:4156).

    Short term · Reported
  • Risk

    Waiting until 2027 exposes OpenAI to whatever broader market and AI-sentiment conditions exist then, which could be worse rather than better than 2026, as SpaceX's own rocky debut already demonstrates within the same asset class.

    Medium term · Suggested
  • Consequence

    A longer runway as a private company keeps OpenAI's detailed financials out of standard quarterly public disclosure, meaning independent scrutiny of its revenue and loss trajectory continues to depend on leaked reporting rather than filed accounts.

    Immediate · Reported
First Reported In

Update #15 · Oracle names AI in its own annual report

Bloomberg· 1 Jul 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
TSMC
TSMC
The chipmaker raised its 2026 revenue growth forecast to about 44% on 15 October while holding capital spending at $60-64bn. High-performance computing, mostly AI data-centre chips, made up 68% of quarterly revenue, so demand for the hardware behind automation is still rising.
South Korean government
South Korean government
Its statistics office published the first youth figures on the 15-to-34 band set by a revised law, showing a fall of 98,000 against 147,000 on the old band. Including people in their early thirties, whose employment rose, makes the official youth decline look gentler.
Office for National Statistics
Office for National Statistics
The ONS put UK vacancies at 691,000 for July to September and professional, scientific and technical vacancies 11.6% lower on the year. In September it had shown the same sector still adding jobs, so the fall appears in adverts before it reaches headcount.
Chinese government
Chinese government
Officials told a State Council Information Office briefing on 10 October that 10.52 million new urban jobs had been created by September, 87.7% of the annual target. Official figures show investment falling overall but rising in networks, data services and robot output, with urban unemployment at 5.2%.
Tharman Shanmugaratnam
Tharman Shanmugaratnam
Singapore's President, co-chair of the World Bank Jobs Council, urged governments at the Bangkok meetings to make crisis-era youth employment support a standing policy tool. That treats young workers' AI exposure as a lasting budget line rather than a shock to ride out.
Srini Pallia, Wipro
Srini Pallia, Wipro
Wipro's chief executive called AI a long-term growth driver as the company cut 6,716 staff on flat revenue. HCLTech and TCS added staff in the same quarter, so Wipro's cut sits beside its own weak revenue rather than an industry-wide fall.

Written with AI from Lowdown's published reporting. Not individually reviewed by an editor. Editorial standards.