Skip to content
Welcome, thoughtbot's Giant Robots listeners!Start here
2026 FIFA World Cup
17JUN

Sanctions licence dies in OFAC silence

4 min read
10:21UTC

OFAC let General Licence V expire at 12:01am Eastern on Sunday with no guidance on whether Hengli's refinery restructure clears the 50% ownership test; banks open Monday in the dark.

SportAssessed
Key takeaway

A US sanctions exemption on a Chinese refiner lapsed with no guidance, leaving banks to guess their exposure.

OFAC, the US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control, let General Licence V expire at 12:01am Eastern on Sunday 24 May without publishing any extension, replacement, or guidance⁠1. The licence, signed on 24 April under Executive Order 13902, had authorised firms to wind down dealings with Hengli Petrochemical's sanctioned Dalian refinery. From Monday's Asia open, any non-US bank clearing dollars for Hengli faces a secondary-sanctions designation of its own.

The silence matters because of a structural question nobody answered. On 21 May, Hengli's Singapore arm transferred 95% of the Dalian refinery to Dalian Changxing, a Chinese state-linked trading house. OFAC's 50% rule treats any entity owned 50% or more by a blocked person as itself blocked. The transfer therefore clears sanctions only if Dalian Changxing is genuinely independent of the Hengli structure; if it is a front, the asset stays blocked and so does every bank that touches its dollars. No bank and no regulator answered that question before the deadline.

The expiry was mechanical, set on 24 April and immovable. The deal Trump declared the same weekend was verbal and contingent. Treasury enforcement and presidential diplomacy ran on the same Sunday without referencing each other, because one answers to a calendar and the other to a Truth Social post. OFAC's refusal to rule before the deadline is itself the enforcement posture: compliance desks must assume exposure and price it in.

Beijing had already moved. China's National Financial Regulatory Administration ordered banks on 1 May to stop new lending to five US-sanctioned refineries, while telling them not to demand repayment of existing credit⁠2. That order, alongside MOFCOM's Announcement No. 21 blocking statute, shields the same five refiners OFAC has pointedly declined to designate. Asia opens Monday with the legal status of every Hengli dollar trade unresolved, the enforcement clock running, and the promised waivers conditional on a text that does not yet exist.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

The US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) administers America's sanctions programmes, effectively deciding which companies are barred from using US dollars. A rule called the '50% rule' says that if a sanctioned entity owns 50% or more of another company, that company is treated as sanctioned too. In April, OFAC sanctioned Hengli Petrochemical, a large Chinese oil refinery. Three days before a key OFAC deadline expired on 24 May, Hengli's Singapore trading arm transferred 95% of the Dalian refinery to a different Chinese company called Dalian Changxing. Hengli's argument was: we no longer own more than 50% of the refinery, so the new company (Dalian Changxing) should not count as sanctioned. OFAC's deadline expired on 24 May without the bureau clarifying whether it agrees. This matters because any bank clearing US dollars for Hengli or Dalian Changxing now faces potential US penalties from Monday, but nobody knows for certain whether those penalties actually apply. Banks must decide whether to keep processing the trades or freeze them while waiting for clarity that may never come.

Deep Analysis
Root Causes

OFAC's General Licence V (GL V) was the only signed Iran instrument of the entire 80-day war. Its 30-day wind-down period ending 24 May was a fixed administrative deadline rather than a policy choice.

The bureau's silence on the Dalian Changxing restructure reflects a structural constraint: issuing a ruling that the restructure is clean would effectively endorse the evasion mechanism and invite its replication across all five NFRA-protected refineries. Issuing a ruling that the restructure is tainted would force a direct confrontation with Beijing at a moment when the Trump-Xi relationship is the primary channel for China's Hormuz-transit diplomacy.

The 95% Dalian Changxing stake is this event's unique load-bearing figure: a Chinese state-linked entity now controls the refinery, OFAC's 50% ownership rule applies automatically to any entity 50%-or-more owned by a blocked person, but 'owned by' requires tracing beneficial ownership through Dalian Changxing back to the original sanctioned structure, which OFAC has not done. Banks must self-assess, with no guidance.

What could happen next?
  • Risk

    Non-US banks that continue clearing Hengli dollar trades from Monday face live secondary-sanctions exposure with no guidance covering their position. One enforcement action against a major correspondent bank would trigger industry-wide freezing of similar trades.

  • Consequence

    The 95% Dalian Changxing restructure, if accepted de facto by OFAC's silence, becomes a template for all five NFRA-protected refineries to exit the formal sanctions perimeter, hollowing out the Iran energy-sanctions architecture without a single enforcement action.

First Reported In

Update #106 · Trump says deal; OFAC says nothing

US Treasury OFAC· 24 May 2026
Read original →
Different Perspectives
French Football Federation
French Football Federation
The FFF called an 11:00 CEST press conference for 28 July, at its Paris headquarters, following an extraordinary executive committee meeting, at which Zinedine Zidane is expected to be presented as head coach succeeding Didier Deschamps. As of this writing no communique confirms the appointment, contract length or start date.
Morocco
Morocco
Morocco is pushing for the 2030 final at its Grand Stade Hassan II in Casablanca, a planned 115,000-seat venue that would be the world's largest football stadium on completion. The venue is contested by a Spanish petition for the Santiago Bernabeu, and FIFA has fixed neither the venue nor the tournament's proposed 64-team format.
FIFA
FIFA
FIFA's first tournament report, published 27 July, itemises nearly 300,000 accredited personnel, 73,700 security staff and 300,000 square metres of custom-grown turf, with no revenue or cost figure attached. As a Swiss association answering to its own Congress rather than a treasury, FIFA has followed the same operational-before-financial sequence it used after Qatar 2022.
Javier Tebas / La Liga
Javier Tebas / La Liga
La Liga president Javier Tebas said on 21 July that FIFA's system is rotten from the root and that Gianni Infantino's time as president has, in his words, concluded. Tebas has no vote in FIFA's process, so days after the IOC declined jurisdiction over a separate ethics complaint, he used the only instrument he has.
Mexico City government
Mexico City government
Head of government Clara Brugada presented a closing report on 22 July crediting the tournament with 44 billion pesos of economic activity, 2,000-plus accelerated public works and 100,000 formal jobs in June alone. The city has not published the method behind that figure, and three other Mexican bodies count the same five weeks differently.
Town of Foxborough
Town of Foxborough
Foxborough answered Kraft Group's June lawsuit on 7 July with a 61-page counterclaim, calling the stadium's owners 'a collection of multibillion-dollar corporations' trying to shift its $7.8 million security bill onto taxpayers. The town says its licensing power and its billing power run through the same board, and it wants the court to award its own costs too.