Nation / PlaceGB
Dumfriesshire
Scottish Conservative constituency in southern Scotland projected to fall to the SNP in 2026.
Last refreshed: 10 April 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic
Timeline for Dumfriesshire
#2 7 Apr
Mentioned in: Tories Projected to Hold Zero Scottish Constituency Seats
UK Local Elections 2026Background
Dumfriesshire is a predominantly rural constituency in the Scottish Borders and Dumfries and Galloway region. It has been held by the Scottish Conservatives and is part of the southern Scotland cluster where the party retained seats after 2014.
For 2026, the seat is projected to change hands to the SNP as the Conservatives' Scottish support continues to contract. The constituency's loss would further consolidate SNP dominance across southern rural Scotland, a region the party has targeted systematically since the independence referendum era.
How the World Sees Them
Ian Davidson, Acting Returning Officer for Clacton
is expected to cost around four times as much as a more typical ballot paper for a by-election of this kind
Sinn Féin
no intent, plan or otherwise
Scottish Labour
This 'contest' reeks of misogyny and male entitlement.
Democratic Unionist Party
goaded
Scottish National Party
the most undemocratic trick in the Westminster book
MHCLG / Steve Reed
further time is required as it is vital that we get these decisions right
Local Government Association / litigating councils
simply not deliverable
Local Government Association
significant risks to statutory services
Rupert Lowe / Restore Britain
Reform-sponsored media circus