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Is Britain Actually Broke?
3SEP

Index-linked 2049 gilt cleared at 3.58 times cover

1 min read
15:29UTC

The Debt Management Office sold £900m of the 1⅞% Index-linked Treasury Gilt 2049 on 3 September at a real yield of 2.496%, with £3,220m bid.

EconomicDeveloping
Key takeaway

A 2.496% real yield locks in a return above inflation until 2049.

The UK Debt Management Office sold £900m of the 1⅞% Index-linked Treasury Gilt 2049 on 3 September 2026, took £3,220m of bids for a cover of 3.58 times, and struck a real yield of 2.496% 1.

Striking the line at 2.496% commits the government to that return above whatever inflation does between now and 2049, because an index-linked gilt pays out more as prices rise and a real yield is what a lender earns on top of inflation rather than including it. The taxpayer funds that protection for twenty-three years, until the line matures in 2049.

Roughly a quarter of the outstanding gilt stock moves with prices , so inflation lifts the payments on lines like this one instead of eroding them. A government whose debt is fixed in cash can let inflation shrink the real burden of it. Britain can do that to about three quarters of the stock, and each index-linked sale adds a little to the quarter where the trick does not work.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Most government debt pays a fixed amount of interest whatever happens to prices. This type, called index-linked, is different: its payments rise automatically if inflation rises, protecting the investor but also meaning the government cannot quietly reduce the real cost of this debt through inflation the way it can with ordinary borrowing. The government sold £900m of this kind of debt on 3 September, and investors bid £3,220m for it, well over three times as much as was on offer.

What could happen next?
  • Meaning

    Roughly a quarter of the UK's gilt stock is index-linked, which structurally limits how much an inflation-led reduction in the real debt burden could achieve.

First Reported In

Update #3 · Debt ratio fell; borrowing missed by £2.3bn

UK Debt Management Office· 3 Sept 2026
Read original
Different Perspectives
Structural case for reading the fall as genuine improvement
Structural case for reading the fall as genuine improvement
The debt ratio fell, borrowing fell year-on-year in cash terms by £6.0bn over the financial year to date, and two gilt auctions cleared at bid-to-cover ratios of 3.39 and 3.58 times with no sign of buyers demanding a premium for risk. On that reading, the state of Britain's public finances has not deteriorated this fortnight.
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Chartered Institute of Public Finance and Accountancy
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Office for Budget Responsibility
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