14JUN

6,530 dead by day 25 — Hengaw report

1 min read

11:42UTC

Hengaw's count reached 6,530 killed through Day 25. The eighth report, covering the last week, is overdue.

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Key takeaway

Both sides' casualty tolls are climbing with no ceasefire in sight.

Hengaw's seventh report confirmed 6,530 killed through Day 25 (24 March), including 640 civilians, 130 children, and 173 women across 186 cities in 26 provinces. ¹ An eighth report covering days 25 to 31 is overdue. Israel recorded 6,131 total hospitalisations since 28 February, with 118 currently hospitalised. Four Israeli soldiers were killed in a south Lebanon clash with Hezbollah on 31 March. ²

The civilian toll in Iran already exceeds total coalition fatalities in the 2003 Iraq invasion. The gap between Hengaw's figures and the Iranian government's official count of 1,937 remains wide and unexplained.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

Hengaw is a Kurdish human rights organisation that has been tracking casualties inside Iran since the war began. Their seventh report, covering the first 25 days of the war, documented 6,530 people killed, including 640 civilians, 130 children, and 173 women. To put that in context: total coalition military fatalities in the entire 2003 Iraq invasion were around 172. Iran has lost more civilians in 25 days than the US-led coalition lost in total during the fall of Baghdad. An eighth report covering the week since then is overdue. At the documented rate of roughly 20 civilian deaths per day, the current civilian death toll in Iran likely exceeds 800 by now. On the Israeli side, 6,131 people have been hospitalised since the war began, with four soldiers killed in a clash with Hezbollah in Lebanon on 31 March.

Sources:Times of Israel·Hengaw Organisation for Human Rights·Hengaw Organisation for Human Rights

Mentions:Lebanon →Hengaw →Hezbollah →

First Reported In

Update #53 · Trump drops Hormuz goal; toll becomes law

Times of Israel· 31 Mar 2026

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Causes and effects

Caused by

Hengaw: 6,900 dead in first month

Hengaw's seventh report updates the 6,530 toll that underpins the humanitarian casualty tracking established through earlier Hengaw reports.

Occurred 28 Mar 2026

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This Event

6,530 dead by day 25 — Hengaw report

Iranian civilian casualties already exceed total coalition fatalities in the 2003 Iraq invasion, with a week of data still unreported.

Led to

Day 29: 6,900 dead; official toll frozen

Hengaw's 8th report (6,900 dead) builds directly on the 7th report (ID:1757, 6,530 dead), showing the toll continues to rise.

Occurred 28 Mar 2026

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Different Perspectives

Oil markets / Lloyd's of London

Brent fell approximately 5% to $82.98 and WTI to $80.89 as markets priced a reopening; the Nikkei rose 5% and Kospi 5.5%. Lloyd's has not de-listed Hormuz from its war-risk register; the UAE assessed full flows will not resume before 2027; markets priced the announcement, not new barrels.

IAEA / Rafael Grossi

The IAEA declared loss of continuity on Iran's 440.9 kg HEU stockpile after 97 days without inspector access since 28 February 2026; Grossi replied to Araghchi's materials-protection letter citing Iran's NPT Safeguards Agreement obligation to declare any nuclear transfer. The agency has treaty text and no inspectors on the ground to enforce it.

Qatar mediators

Qatari negotiators flew to Tehran to close remaining gaps, operating as the primary shuttle channel to bridge the civilian-track gap the IRGC veto left. Qatar's Hormuz mediation role is its most significant since the April ceasefire; the Lebanon clause is the unresolved obstacle neither shuttle can force.

Pakistan mediators

Pakistan's channel, which delivered the April ceasefire after an identical public-denial cycle, has not secured a written IRGC or Khamenei response to the MOU. The Pakistan-Qatar shuttle insists the deal covers Lebanon; neither has a mechanism to bind Israel to a clause Israel has now formally repudiated.

India / Modi

Modi confirmed a G7 bilateral with Trump on 17 June after two formal Indian protests over the CENTCOM strike on the MT Settebello that killed three Indian sailors; Jaishankar phoned Rubio with a strong protest on 13 June. India is the first non-party leader to put the blockade's human cost on a formal G7 agenda.

Israel / Netanyahu cabinet

Defence Minister Katz declared the IDF stays in Lebanon, Syria and Gaza for an unlimited period; Ben-Gvir said the deal does not bind Israel. Israeli strikes on Beirut forced the signing to slip to 19 June; Trump called Netanyahu 'a very difficult guy' and said the strikes nearly derailed the deal.