20JUL

FIFA calls 48 teams right, eyes 64

2 min read

11:05UTC

Infantino called the expanded format "100 percent" the right call on 13 July and said FIFA's committees will examine a 64-team tournament for 2030.

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Key takeaway

Infantino defended the 48-team format and sent a 64-team option for 2030 to FIFA's committees.

Gianni Infantino called the 48-team World Cup format "100 percent" the right call on Monday 13 July and said FIFA's committees will examine expanding to 64 teams for 2030 ¹. France, Spain, England and Argentina made up the last four, the same four confederation-heavyweight names the smaller format tended to produce. A record ten African entrants produced no semi-finalist , and neither Norway nor Switzerland, the two outsiders to reach the quarter-finals, went further than that.

The structural objections raised through the tournament remain unanswered in anything FIFA has published. Thirty-two of 48 teams go through, which makes elimination harder than qualification. Where both sides in a final group match can qualify on the same scoreline, the incentive runs toward playing for that result and letting it eliminate a third team.

The calendar carries the other cost. Top European leagues restart roughly a month after the final, and the players who went deepest get the shortest break. A 64-team field would add another round of fixtures to the same window, which is the part of the proposal FIFA's committees will have to price rather than vote on.

Deep Analysis

In plain English

FIFA president Gianni Infantino said the World Cup's new 48-team format, used for the first time this year, was '100 percent' the right decision, and said FIFA will now look at expanding even further, to 64 teams, for the next World Cup in 2030. Critics argue the bigger format has a built-in problem: with two-thirds of teams advancing from the group stage, it is now easier to qualify for the knockout rounds than to get eliminated in the groups, which can make some final group games less competitive. FIFA has not publicly addressed that criticism.

Deep Analysis

Root Causes

The 32-of-48 advancement structure is the mechanical source of the collusion-incentive critique: with two-thirds of the field progressing, a team can calculate its safest path through a final group match well before kickoff, a dynamic the older 32-team format's stricter cut did not permit to the same degree.

That the eventual last four, France, Spain, England and Argentina, were the most conventional grouping of football powers the draw could have produced undercuts the format's stated promise of broadening genuine title contention even as it delivered record attendance and goal totals.

What could happen next?

Risk
Expanding to 64 teams without addressing the 32-of-48 advancement critique would extend the same dead-rubber incentive structure across a still larger field.

Source Landscape

This story draws on mixed-leaning sources from United States

United States

LeftRight

Consensus view: Infantino's own case for expansion rests on scale: the 48-team format set an all-time World Cup attendance record of 3,605,357 across the group stage alone, beating the previous record set across the entire 1994 tournament in the United States.

Counter-view: Independent analysis from outlets including Al Jazeera and CNN has documented a structural flaw the attendance figures do not address: because 32 of 48 teams advance from the groups, it is mathematically harder to be eliminated in the group stage than to qualify for the knockouts in the first place, which raises the risk of dead-rubber final group games and mutually convenient results.

Key tension: Whether a format judged a success on attendance and goals-per-game has also been judged on the competitive-integrity question its own confederations and independent analysts raised throughout the tournament, since no source found in this reporting shows FIFA's own review addressing the incentive structure directly.

Sources:Associated Press (via PBS NewsHour)·Associated Press (via PBS NewsHour)

Mentions:Gianni Infantino →Norway →Switzerland →Spain →United States →Al Jazeera →Argentina →England →France →World Cup →FIFA →

First Reported In

Update #44 · Spain win with one goal and one conceded

Associated Press (via PBS NewsHour)· 20 Jul 2026

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Causes and effects

Caused by

Africa's last team out as France win

A record ten African entrants producing no semi-finalist is competitive evidence FIFA has not addressed in declaring the 48-team format vindicated.

Occurred 9 Jul 2026

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This Event

FIFA calls 48 teams right, eyes 64

FIFA is moving toward a further expansion without answering the structural objections raised against the format it has just run.

Different Perspectives

FairSquare

FairSquare has referred Gianni Infantino to the International Olympic Committee's Ethics Commission over FIFA's political-neutrality rules, using the IOC's authority as a lever FIFA's own president-appointed Ethics Committee cannot provide against itself. Trump's on-podium presence at the final, with Infantino visibly moving him aside, becomes an exhibit for that complaint rather than an argument for it.

Fiscalía General de Justicia de la Ciudad de México

Mexico City's prosecutor has opened four homicide investigations into the crush that killed Emilín Yumith Téllez, Joshami Iraís Robles, Leonardo Ruiz and an unidentified fourth victim at the Ángel de la Independencia, three of them classified as negligent homicide. Three weeks after the final whistle, no determination has been reached.

FIFA / Gianni Infantino

Infantino called the 48-team format "100 percent" right and confirmed FIFA's committees will examine expanding to 64 teams for 2030, on the strength of a goal count FIFA has never published as one audited total for all 104 matches. FIFA has issued no statement on the Malvinas banner review or the Bellingham file since deferring both past the final.

Claudio Tapia / AFA

AFA president Claudio Tapia told the squad to stand tall after the final, and Argentina's own press did not contest the result, framing the defeat around the possible end of the Messi era rather than any complaint about the match itself. Messi ruled out only the 2030 tournament, leaving his Copa America future unaddressed.

Luis de la Fuente / Spain

Luis de la Fuente nominated Rodri for the Ballon d'Or after the final, framing a title built on one goal conceded as proof a team can win through control rather than scoring. His squad carried eight Barcelona players and none from Real Madrid, the first time that has happened in the federation's history.

Football data analysts

A 6-4 between exhausted, eliminated sides making four half-time changes each reads as collapsed defensive intensity, not proof of a better format. The number that actually tests the 48-team expansion is the per-match rate, roughly 2.9 against 2022's 2.69, not the raw 300-goal aggregate padded by forty extra fixtures.