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Saxo Bank
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OrganisationDK

Saxo Bank

Danish investment bank and online broker, founded in Copenhagen in 1992.

Saxo Bank is a Danish online investment bank and broker, founded in Copenhagen in 1992, which launched one of Europe's first online trading platforms in 1998 and is now wholly owned by J. Safra Sarasin Group.

Last refreshed: 7 October 2026 · Appears in 1 active topic

Key Question

Has the £24bn of Budget headroom halved, and will the triple lock survive?

Timeline for Saxo Bank

#4 28 Sept

Estimated that the Budget headroom has at least halved

Is Britain Actually Broke?: Healey rules out three big tax rises
View full timeline →

Background

Saxo Bank is a Danish investment bank and online broker. By its own account it was founded in Copenhagen in 1992 and in 1998 launched one of Europe's first online trading platforms. Its website says J. Safra Sarasin Group has completed its acquisition of the bank and now owns it outright.

Saxo's part in British fiscal debate comes through its market commentary. Neil Wilson, its commentator, estimated that the headroom of roughly £24bn left after the March forecast has at least halved under Chancellor John Healey, WHO has ruled out rises in VAT, income tax and corporation tax and pledged to meet the fiscal rules. Citing Institute for Fiscal Studies work, Wilson put the state pension £16bn a year above an earnings link and gave odds of about 30% that this Budget ends the triple lock.

These are a broker's estimates, not official figures. The Resolution Foundation put headroom against the fiscal rules at about £10bn in July, and the Office for Budget Responsibility will set out its own figure on 28 October.

Common Questions
How much fiscal headroom does the Chancellor have?
Saxo estimates the roughly £24bn left after the March forecast has at least halved. The Resolution Foundation put it at about £10bn in July. The OBR certifies on 28 October.Source: Saxo; Resolution Foundation
Will the triple lock be scrapped at the Budget?
Saxo's Neil Wilson gives about 30% odds that it ends this Budget. That is one analyst's opinion, not a government plan.Source: Saxo, October 2026
Who is Saxo Bank?
A Danish investment bank and online broker, founded in Copenhagen in 1992.Source: Saxo
Source Material