21 Kutatokozpont
Independent Hungarian pollster showing Tisza 19 points ahead of Fidesz.
Last refreshed: 1 April 2026
With Tisza 19 points ahead, are Hungary's government polls hiding an upset?
Timeline for 21 Kutatokozpont
Mentioned in: Tisza leads Fidesz by 19 points
Russia-Ukraine War 2026What is 21 Kutatokozpont and how reliable are its polls?
Why do different Hungarian polls show different results ahead of the 12 April election?
Background
21 Kutatokozpont is Hungary's leading independent polling institute, whose survey released ahead of the 12 April 2026 parliamentary election shows Tisza leading Fidesz by 19 percentage points among decided voters — 56% to 37% — the widest gap recorded in any independent poll during the campaign.
Founded in 2011, 21 Kutatokozpont occupies a distinct position in Hungary's polarised polling landscape. Unlike Nezopont, which is government-affiliated and consistently reports Fidesz ahead, 21 Kutatokozpont produces surveys independent of party or state funding. Its methodology focuses on decided voters, which tends to amplify the margin in highly mobilised electorates. The institute publishes regularly ahead of elections and is widely cited in international media covering Hungarian politics.
The divergence between 21 Kutatokozpont's findings and those of government-linked Nezopont — which shows Fidesz ahead 46% to 40% — illustrates the methodological and political fracture in Hungarian polling. PolitPro's aggregate, which weights multiple firms, places Tisza at 47.8% versus Fidesz/KDNP at 40.5%, broadly corroborating the independent picture. The institute's findings carry geopolitical weight: a Tisza victory would remove Hungary's principal veto on EU sanctions and Ukraine aid.