21 Kutatokozpont
Independent Hungarian pollster showing Tisza 19 points ahead of Fidesz.
Last refreshed: 1 April 2026
With Tisza 19 points ahead, are Hungary's government polls hiding an upset?
Latest on 21 Kutatokozpont
- What is 21 Kutatokozpont and how reliable are its polls?
- 21 Kutatokozpont is an independent Hungarian polling institute founded in 2011. It showed Tisza leading Fidesz 56% to 37% ahead of the 12 April 2026 election — a wider margin than any government-affiliated pollster.Source: 21 Kutatokozpont
- Why do different Hungarian polls show different results ahead of the 12 April election?
- Hungary has a divided polling landscape. Independent firms such as 21 Kutatokozpont show a large Tisza lead; government-affiliated Nezopont consistently shows Fidesz ahead. Methodology and funding source both influence results.Source: PolitPro aggregate
- What does the 21 Kutatokozpont poll say about Hungary's 2026 election?
- The institute's latest survey shows Tisza at 56% versus Fidesz at 37% among decided voters — a 19-point gap, the largest recorded in any independent poll during the 2026 campaign.Source: 21 Kutatokozpont
- How does 21 Kutatokozpont differ from Nezopont?
- 21 Kutatokozpont is independently funded; Nezopont is government-affiliated. The two institutions produce opposite results: Kutatokozpont shows Tisza well ahead, Nezopont shows Fidesz leading. PolitPro's aggregate aligns closer to the independent picture.
Background
21 Kutatokozpont is Hungary's leading independent polling institute, whose survey released ahead of the 12 April 2026 parliamentary election shows Tisza leading Fidesz by 19 percentage points among decided voters — 56% to 37% — the widest gap recorded in any independent poll during the campaign.
Founded in 2011, 21 Kutatokozpont occupies a distinct position in Hungary's polarised polling landscape. Unlike Nezopont, which is government-affiliated and consistently reports Fidesz ahead, 21 Kutatokozpont produces surveys independent of party or state funding. Its methodology focuses on decided voters, which tends to amplify the margin in highly mobilised electorates. The institute publishes regularly ahead of elections and is widely cited in international media covering Hungarian politics.
The divergence between 21 Kutatokozpont's findings and those of government-linked Nezopont — which shows Fidesz ahead 46% to 40% — illustrates the methodological and political fracture in Hungarian polling. PolitPro's aggregate, which weights multiple firms, places Tisza at 47.8% versus Fidesz/KDNP at 40.5%, broadly corroborating the independent picture. The institute's findings carry geopolitical weight: a Tisza victory would remove Hungary's principal veto on EU sanctions and Ukraine aid.